Last week I wrote about how the S&P 500 was in a countertrend reversal: lower trading volume as the market neared resistance levels.Last week's chart: Fast forward to today and we are seeing the exact opposite. The market failed to break through resistance levels...
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Stuck at Resistance
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Extra Volatility from Oversold Conditions
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Research Update: Market Due for a Short Term Bounce
Last week equities continued their decline. The S&P 500 index declined another 2.4% while the tech-heavy NASDAQ finished the week down 2.8%.The market is now short-term oversold. I expect to see some sort of bounce; however, this will most likely be short-term in...
Typical Pullback or Something More?
The stock market continues its decline and has broken through key levels of long-term support. Since its January peak, the S&P 500 index is down over 17% and NASDAQ has declined over 26%. Historically, pullbacks are normal in the stock market. Since 1980, the...
Federal Reserve Policy Remains a Headwind for Equity & Credit Markets
April was another difficult month for both stock and bond markets. The S&P 500 Index traded -8.8% lower during the month, while the Bloomberg Bond U.S. Aggregate Index traded -3.8% lower. Federal Reserve policy remains the driving force as the central bank raises...
Are Inflation Worries Overdone?
The big worry facing investors right now is inflation. But are investors' fears about inflation overdone? The bond market thinks so. For the past few weeks, "Fed Speak" from members of the FOMC has led the market to believe that the Fed was about to get very...
S&P 500 Holding Cloud Support
Last week was another volatile market as traders digested speeches from Federal Reserve Board members regarding inflation. By the end of the week, signs of positive momentum began to show again. From a technical viewpoint, the S&P 500 Index held support above the...
April is Historically A Very Good Month for Stocks
The US equity markets continue to show strength as we enter a new quarter. Last week the S&P 500 traded above the key levels that I have been closely watching. As the equity market reached these levels, it became overbought in the short term resulting in a small...
The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly
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